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| III. Summary of Considerations in
Developing Standards A. Basis of the Regulation the degree of emissions reduction the Administrator determines, on the basis of technological and economic feasibility, health, environmental, and energy impacts, is achievable through the application of the most effective equipment, measures, processes, methods, systems or techniques, including chemical reformulation, product or feedstock substitution, repackaging, and directions for use, consumption, storage, or disposal. The statute thus empowers the EPA to examine a variety of considerations to use in determining the best means of obtaining VOC emission reductions from a given consumer or commercial product category. As discussed in the preamble to the proposed rule (61 FR 32737, June 25, 1996), the primary factors the EPA considered in determining BAC for architectural coatings were technological and economic feasibility, and environmental impacts. Non-air environmental impacts (solid waste and water) and energy impacts are expected to be minimal and, therefore, do not vary significantly among various VOC control levels. With regard to health impacts, the EPA has concluded that reductions in VOC emissions and concomitant reductions in ozone will reduce health impacts of exposure to ozone. For architectural coatings, the EPA determined that BAC is the degree of emission reduction achievable through a system of regulation that encourages product reformulation to meet the VOC content limits in Table 1 of this subpart, provides an economic incentive (the exceedance fee option) to lower VOC content of coatings, and allows for limited exemption of coatings (the VOC tonnage exemption). The EPA concluded that for this product category, pollution prevention is the most effective means of achieving VOC emission reductions. In working to comply with State VOC rules over the past several years, the architectural coatings industry has established product reformulation as the most technologically and economically feasible strategy for reducing VOC emissions. Reformulation can consist of minor adjustments in coating VOC contents or larger adjustments involving a change in resin technology. The EPA considered many factors in evaluating the economic and technological feasibility of different VOC content levels and different degrees of reformulation. These factors included existing State and local VOC emission standards, coating VOC content and sales information, analysis of coating technologies, performance considerations, cost considerations, market impacts, and stakeholder input. In addition, the EPA considered the relative contribution of different coating types to overall VOC emissions from architectural coatings. At proposal, the EPA requested comment on alternatives to the proposed VOC content limits that would provide flexibility, if additional time were needed or it was not cost-effective to develop a low-VOC formulation. Based on comments received, the EPA included in the final rule an exceedance fee (discussed in sections II.C and V.I) and an exemption for a certain tonnage of VOC content (discussed in sections II.D and V.G). The final VOC content limits in conjunction with the exceedance fee and tonnage exemption reflect the EPA's determination of BAC and are based primarily on the 1990 VOC Emissions Inventory Survey, analysis of existing State rules for architectural coatings, data obtained from participants in the regulatory negotiation, and information submitted by coating manufacturers and other interested parties during the course of the rule development and public comment period.
B. Stakeholder and Public Participation A separate document in today's Federal Register contains a summary of public comments and the EPA's responses regarding the section 183(e) study, the Report to Congress, the list of consumer and commercial product categories selected for regulation, and the schedule for regulation.
IV. Summary of Impacts A. Environmental Impacts 2. Health Effects 3. Secondary Air, Water, and Solid Waste Impacts The regulations do not impact existing product inventories. Products manufactured before the compliance deadline are not affected. Excluding existing product inventories from the regulations will eliminate any incremental solid waste increase due to discarded, unsold products. The new products are not expected to require any more packaging than existing products, and thus the volume of discarded packaging should not increase.
B. Energy Impacts
C. Cost and Economic Impacts The cost for reformulating noncompliant products depends on the level of effort required to develop a new product (e.g., research and development and market testing expenditures) and how these expenditures are incurred over time. Based on comments received at proposal and the original data presented at proposal, the EPA revised its estimate of the cost to reformulate a product from a lump-sum initial investment of $250,000 to $87,000 (in 1991 dollars), which is annualized to an upper bound value of $14,570 per reformulation (see Section V. M of this preamble for further discussion). Although variations are likely to exist, for purposes of this analysis, this reformulation cost estimate is assumed to be the same for all product types and variations, so the value is independent of VOC content and the annual sales volume of the product. Other costs and cost savings associated with reformulation are likely, but could not be quantified. These costs are discussed qualitatively in the EIA. Reformulation costs are direct costs imposed on manufacturers of noncompliant products. Based on public comments, the EPA found that in the traffic markings category, the user of the coating may have to modify technology or purchase new equipment to apply the coating. This additional cost is not considered a direct impact because it occurs as a result of restrictions on coating manufacturers, but the cost is borne by the user of the coating rather than the manufacturer. Nevertheless, the EPA examined the indirect impacts of this category because the changed equipment costs are so directly related to the change of formulation. The EPA estimates that changes in traffic marking equipment may cost up to $3 million annually (in 1991 dollars). For other regulated categories, it is not anticipated that new equipment or other indirect costs will be incurred to apply compliant coatings. Based on the information above, implementation of this regulation is estimated to result in national annualized costs of approximately $25.6 million (in 1991 dollars). (For the benefit of readers, this value is equivalent to approximately $29 million in 1996 dollars.) This estimate includes $0.6 million in costs for manufacturers and importers that the EPA anticipates will take advantage of the alternative exceedance fee compliance provision. The rule does not impose monitoring requirements (and associated costs), but ensures compliance through recordkeeping, reporting, and labeling requirements. The annual cost for these requirements is expected to be approximately $2.5 million. Therefore, the EPA estimates the total cost associated with the rule to be $28 million per year (1991 dollars) (or $32 million in 1996 dollars). In comparison, the 1991 value of shipments for this industry was $6.3 billion. Thus, the estimated costs amount to roughly 0.4 percent of the baseline revenues for this industry. The estimated cost-effectiveness of the rule is $270 per megagram ($250 per ton) of VOC emission reduction. This cost per megagram of VOC emission reduction makes the architectural coatings rule an economically efficient means of obtaining VOC emission reductions, when compared to the cost per megagram of reduction potentially available through other control measures. As a result of the costs discussed above, the EPA anticipates that the average change in market prices and output across all market segments are minimal, with an average estimated impact of less than one-tenth of 1 percent of baseline values. The EPA believes the estimates of total cost and associated economic impacts are conservatively high. Since the best available data on VOC content of architectural coatings is from 1990, and the final rule has VOC content requirements similar to State rules which have been enforced since 1990, the EPA believes the estimated number of reformulations and/or their reformulation cost that result from this action may be overstated in that the compliant products developed by manufacturers to comply with various State rules can be used to meet the requirements of the Federal rule. The EIA also takes a conservative approach to several assumptions to produce an upper bound estimate of social cost.
V. Significant Comments and Changes to Proposed Standards The following sections of the preamble discuss the most significant issues raised by commenters and the EPA's responses to them.
A. National Rule Versus Control Techniques Guidelines Over 20 commenters stated that they support a national architectural coatings rule. Commenters who supported a national rule with VOC content limits stated that complying with a single uniform regulation would be less burdensome, and more cost-effective than complying with many different standards in different States. Commenters also stated that small manufacturers and importers are less likely to have the resources necessary to produce different lines of products to meet varying standards for different areas of the country. Furthermore, many commenters pointed out that coatings are widely distributed and easily transported from attainment areas to nonattainment areas. Therefore, regulating products only in nonattainment areas would be a less effective strategy, and a more difficult one to enforce. Seven commenters stated that they support a CTG in lieu of a national rule. Commenters favoring a CTG generally contended that section 183(e) targets VOC emissions in nonattainment areas, and that a national rule is not warranted. The commenters stated that a CTG would be more appropriate since issuance of a CTG requires States to implement standards only in nonattainment areas. According to these commenters, allowing coatings manufactured or imported in attainment areas to remain unregulated would provide market niches for small manufacturers and importers. Some commenters also argued that consumers in attainment areas should not have to forego the alleged benefits of higher VOC content coatings. Several commenters noted that, even with implementation of a national rule, States can promulgate more stringent standards. Therefore, even a national rule does not ensure uniform nationwide VOC standards. Some commenters urged cooperation and discussion between the EPA and States that consider implementing standards more stringent than the national rule. The EPA has concluded that a national rule is the more effective approach for reducing emissions from architectural coatings for the following reasons. First, the EPA believes that a national rule is an appropriate means to reduce emissions from products that are, by their nature, easily transported across area boundaries, and many are widely distributed and are used by widely varied types of end-users. For many such products, the end-user may use them in different locations from day-to-day. Because the products themselves are easily transportable, a national rule would preempt opportunities for end-users to purchase such consumer and commercial products in attainment areas and then use them in nonattainment areas, thereby circumventing the regulations and undermining the decrease in VOC emissions in nonattainment areas. The EPA, therefore, believes that a national rule with applicability to products, regardless of where they are marketed, is a reasonable means to ensure that the regulations result in the requisite degree of VOC emission reduction. Second, the EPA believes that national rules with nationwide applicability may help to mitigate the impact of ozone and ozone precursor transport across some area boundaries. Recent modeling performed by the OTAG and others suggests that in some circumstances VOC emitted outside nonattainment area boundaries can contribute to ozone pollution in nonattainment areas, for example, by traveling into neighboring nonattainment areas. The EPA has recognized the potential for VOC transport in the December 29, 1997, "Guidance for Implementing the 1-hour Ozone and Pre-Existing NAAQS" concerning credit for VOC emission reductions towards rate-of-progress requirements. The guidance indicates that the EPA may give credit for VOC reductions within 100 kilometers of nonattainment areas. In addition, the June 1997 recommendations made by OTAG supported the EPA's use of VOC regulations that apply to both nonattainment and attainment areas to implement section 183(e) of the Act for certain products. The particular product categories OTAG cited for national VOC regulations are automobile refinish coatings, consumer products, and architectural coatings. The EPA believes that regulation of products in at least some attainment areas is necessary to mitigate VOC emissions that have the potential to contribute to ozone nonattainment in accordance with section 183(e) of the Act. Based on these considerations, and considerations of the effectiveness and enforceability of emission controls, the EPA has determined that a CTG for architectural coatings would not be substantially as effective as a national rule in reducing VOC emissions in ozone nonattainment areas. A major trade association representing many architectural coating manufacturers provided comments supporting a national rule that applies to all areas as the most efficient regulatory mechanism from the perspective of marketing and distribution of products. In addition, comments from a number of small and large manufacturers favored a national rule to encourage uniformity in regulation from State to State, and thereby minimize significant costs and burdens associated with understanding and meeting differing State and local requirements. The EPA also received some comments suggesting that a national rule apply only in nonattainment areas. The EPA believes that rules applicable only in nonattainment areas would be unnecessarily complex and burdensome for many regulated entities to comply with and for the EPA to administer. The potentially regulated entities under section 183(e) are the manufacturers, processors, wholesale distributors, or importers of consumer and commercial products. For these three product categories, EPA believes that regulations that would differentiate between products destined for attainment and nonattainment areas should adequately insure that only compliant products go to nonattainment areas. For such a rule to be effective, EPA believes that this would necessitate requiring regulated entities to track their products and control their distribution, sale, and ultimate destination for use to insure that only compliant products go to nonattainment areas. The EPA notes that for architectural coatings, regulated entities do not currently track or control distribution of their products once they sell them to retail distributors. Although the EPA recognizes that some product lines in some product categories may only be distributed regionally in areas that are already in attainment, the large majority of the product lines will be distributed nationally. Regulations targeted only at nonattainment areas could, thus, impose significant additional burdens upon regulated entities to achieve the goals of section 183(e). By comparison, existing State regulations in some instances apply to a broader range of entities, including retail distributors and end-users. Given the limitations of section 183(e) as to regulated entities, the EPA believes that regulations applicable to both attainment areas and nonattainment areas is a reasonable means to ensure use of complying products where necessary, while avoiding potentially burdensome impacts and less reliable mechanisms to achieve the goals of section 183(e). The EPA expects a national VOC rule for architectural coatings to encourage uniformity in requirements across the country. Many States may choose to rely on the EPA rule rather than adopt their own requirements. The EPA's consideration of this factor, however, is not meant to imply that it would be inappropriate for States to develop more stringent levels of controls where necessary to attain the ozone standard. Some States, particularly those with long-standing and significant nonattainment problems, may need additional emission reductions to achieve attainment of the NAAQS and may need to adopt or maintain more stringent requirements for consumer products like architectural coatings in order to help reach attainment of the ozone NAAQS. The final rule has been amended to include provisions in Sec. 59.410, State authority, to clarify that States are not restricted by this rule in establishing and enforcing their own additional standards and limits. The consultation provisions of section 183(e)(9) of the Act are designed to promote uniformity in such cases where States or local areas need to adopt requirements other than those promulgated by the EPA. Section 183(e)(9) requires the EPA to provide relevant information and studies requested by any State. The EPA expects such consultation and cooperation to result in States developing options for regulation that will be compatible with other States and with the national standards. The EPA considers a national VOC rule an important element in promoting consistency among architectural coating standards.
B. Applicability and Regulated Entities 1. Subject Coatings Commenters questioned whether coatings recommended for both architectural uses and non-architectural uses would be subject to the rule. The commenters also questioned whether shop-applied and factory-applied coatings would be subject. Additional commenters requested clarification as to whether adhesives are subject to the rule. The architectural coatings rule applies to coatings "recommended for field application to stationary structures and their appurtenances, to portable buildings, to pavements, or to curbs." Therefore, the rule does not apply to coatings that are marketed solely for shop application, such as in a manufacturing setting, or coatings marketed solely for application to non-stationary structures, such as aircraft and ships. However, a coating that is recommended by the manufacturer or importer for use as an architectural coating is subject to the architectural coatings rule even if the coating is also recommended for non-architectural uses. The fact that a coating regulated by the architectural coatings rule may also be subject to other rules with different requirements does not alter the manufacturer's or importer's obligation to meet the requirements of the architectural coatings rule. The EPA did not intend to regulate adhesives of any kind in the architectural coatings rule. The EPA intends to regulate industrial adhesives as a separate product category under section 183(e) authority. To clarify the EPA's intent regarding what products are covered by this final rule, the definition of architectural coating has been revised to exclude adhesives and coatings recommended solely for shop application or for application to non-stationary structures. For additional clarity, definitions of "adhesive" and "shop application" have also been added to the final rule. The EPA has added definitions of "imported" and "manufactured" to the final rule to clarify the point at which an architectural coating becomes subject to the requirements in the rule. The final rule also includes additional language in the definitions of "importer" and "manufacturer" to clarify that all divisions of a company, subsidiaries, and parent companies are considered to be a single importer or manufacturer for the purpose of this rule. 2. Regulation of Processors In the proposal preamble the EPA requested comment on the possible regulation of processors under the architectural coatings rule. Commenters generally opposed the regulation of applicators, arguing that: (1) over-thinning is not likely to occur since the proposed VOC content limits are reasonable; (2) rules promulgated under section 183(e) of the Act are not intended to apply to end-users or applicators; and (3) restrictions on thinning at the point of application would be difficult to enforce. The commenters stated that the term "processors" was intended to mean entities that repackage coating materials or further enhance finished products before they are offered for sale to end-users. The final rule does not include processors as a regulated entity. The EPA believes that end-users' compliance with thinning restrictions for architectural coatings would be difficult to enforce in practice. Instead, the EPA has determined that it will be more effective to guard against excessive VOC emissions from thinning by taking into account the amount of thinning in advance. Thus, the final limits are expressed as VOC content of coating "thinned to the manufacturer's maximum recommendation." The EPA believes that these limits provide adequate assurance that compliant coatings will be manufactured to perform optimally with recommended thinning. Regulation of processors would not add significantly to the effectiveness of the rule. C. General Comments on Determination of Best Available Controls A second group of commenters, mainly composed of individual State regulatory agencies, organizations of State and regional regulatory agencies, and environmental groups, stated that they did not support the VOC content limits in the rule because they believe they are too lenient. Two of the commenters, representing environmental groups, contended that the EPA's BAC determination did not include consideration of lower VOC coatings that have been developed since 1990. Several of the commenters cited the existence of more stringent State and local architectural coating regulations that have been in place for many years as evidence that the proposed limits do not represent BAC. Several of the commenters added that the proposed rule falls short of State VOC reduction goals and may result in the States adopting more stringent control measures for this source category and for other source categories. The majority of the commenters in this group supported an alternative, more stringent, table of VOC content limits submitted by one of the commenters. (The commenter also suggested a second phase of limits that would take effect in the future.) The alternative table contains more stringent limits for several categories and would achieve a 30-percent emission reduction (calculated on a solids basis). The more stringent VOC content limits in the table are based on the 1989 California Air Resources Board Suggested Control Measure. Finally, a third group of commenters, composed mainly of coating manufacturers, did not support the limits in the rule because they believe they are too stringent. These commenters stated that low-VOC products (i.e., products meeting the proposed standards) do not perform as well as higher-VOC (non-compliant) products. These commenters claimed that low-VOC coatings are too thick and require considerable thinning to apply, are less durable and require more frequent repainting, and exhibit poor gloss properties. Two of the commenters explained that these performance problems could result in more emissions, rather than less. Two of the commenters stated that available paint raw materials are not adequate to reformulate every non-compliant coating the paint industry offers and still meet customer performance requirements. One commenter stated that the proposed rule will require a massive reformulation of products in the paint and coating industry. The commenter claimed that some organizations were supporting lower limits based on improper data or based on environmental conditions that do not represent circumstances in other areas. The EPA believes that the final rule represents BAC. Best available control is "the degree of emissions reduction that the Administrator determines on the basis of technological and economic feasibility, health, and energy impacts, is achievable." In developing the rule, the EPA considered many factors in evaluating the economic and technological feasibility of different VOC content levels and different degrees of product reformulation. These factors included: (1) limits in State/local regulations; (2) coating VOC content and sales information; (3) performance considerations; (4) cost considerations; and (5) market impacts. The sources of information for these factors included: (1) pre-proposal letters; (2) the 1992 industry survey (collected 1990 data); (3) public comments on the proposed rule; (4) follow-up discussions with commenters to gather additional technical information; (5) State/local regulations and pre-proposal discussions with State/local regulators; (6) input from coating manufacturers and other stakeholders; and (7) EPA expertise. Considering all these factors, the EPA concluded that the VOC content limits in Table 1 of the rule, along with the exceedance fee provisions and the tonnage exemption, represent BAC for architectural coatings. Technical Feasibility and Coating Performance Issues The EPA evaluated all data that were submitted by commenters pertaining to the feasibility of the rule and sought additional information that was reasonably available. In evaluating the degree of emission reduction that represents BAC, the EPA took into consideration that these requirements would apply to all areas of the country and to all manufacturers and importers of architectural coatings within a specific time frame (i.e., approximately 1 year from promulgation). Based on the public comments received, a number of changes were made to the proposed rule. These changes are discussed in section 2.2.4 of the BID (Coating Categories and VOC Content Limits). In some cases, commenters claimed that the rule is not feasible or does not represent BAC, but provided no data to support the general claim. In such cases, the EPA sought additional information that was reasonably available and considered the comments in the context of the overall BAC decision, but often found no basis for making substantive changes to the proposed rule. Relationship of BAC to State and Local Regulations However, the EPA does not agree with commenters who believe that, at a minimum, BAC for the national rule should be equivalent to or more stringent than the lowest emission limits that exist in any State regulation (as presented in a table of standards by one commenter). In the development of a national rule under section 183(e), the EPA has the obligation to determine that the emission limits are technologically and economically feasible on a national scale. State and local VOC limits are based on coating performance under the local meteorological conditions and patterns of coating demand, some of which may be very different than in other locations. Moreover, based on local air quality and existing regulatory programs, a State or local agency may set rules based on a balancing of technological, economic, and environmental factors that might differ from the balance appropriate for a national rule. Therefore, the EPA departed from the State and local requirements where other factors, such as information on VOC content and sales, performance, costs, and market effects indicated that the limits were not technologically or economically feasible on a national scale. The Role of the Exceedance Fee and Tonnage Exemption in BAC The EPA anticipates that use of the tonnage exemption and exceedance fee will reduce the potential VOC emission reductions of the rule by only a small percentage and that foregoing this portion of the reductions to achieve other objectives of the BAC analysis is an appropriate balancing of the relevant factors to achieve BAC reductions. The EPA believes that all available data indicate that the system of regulation adopted in the final rule, consisting of VOC content limits, an exceedance fee provision, and a tonnage exemption, reflects BAC for the architectural coatings category. Consideration of New Low-VOC Coatings The EPA acknowledges that there are coating technologies in existence with VOC contents lower than those listed in table 1. However, section 183(e) of the Act does not require the EPA to set BAC at the level of the lowest-VOC product. It requires that the EPA determine BAC based on "the degree of emissions reduction that the Administrator determines on the basis of technological and economic feasibility, health, and energy impacts, is achievable." To determine whether a more stringent rule would meet the criteria for BAC, the EPA would need to undertake additional study of the recent technological developments for the architectural coatings category. As discussed in section 2.6 of the Architectural Coatings BID such an additional study is under consideration. However, the EPA does not believe it would be appropriate to delay issuing this rule to await the results of that additional study.
D. Changes in Proposed Coating Categories Some commenters suggested changes and clarifications to the proposed category definitions. In response to these comments, the EPA has changed the definitions of a number of the coating categories. The purpose of these changes is to clarify which particular coatings are included in these categories. There were also many requests to revise the VOC content limits in the proposed rule. The EPA contacted many of the commenters, most of whom were coating manufacturers, to obtain additional information in order to evaluate these requests more fully. Based upon consideration of the public comments and additional information obtained since proposal, the EPA has changed the VOC content limits where deemed appropriate. In addition, the final rule provides a tonnage exemption and an exceedance fee option. These provisions provide flexible compliance options that accommodate the need for higher VOC contents in unique or niche products, and in limited-use products. The significant comments and changes made with regard to the VOC content limits are discussed in the following paragraphs. The EPA's rationale for each of these issues is explained more fully in the Architectural Coatings BID. Roof Coatings and Bituminous Coatings and Mastics The EPA reviewed its basis for establishing the proposed category for bituminous coatings and mastics and VOC content limit of 500 g/l and has decided to retain this category and limit in the final rule. The EPA reviewed information submitted by a national trade association comprised of 60 bituminous and nonbituminous coatings manufacturers and suppliers, before proposal, regarding the composition, specialized manufacture, performance, and use limitations of these coatings. According to this information, a significant portion of these coatings are needed for repair and maintenance of existing roofs as well as for installing new roofing systems. The trade association pointed out that waterborne bituminous coatings and mastics are not practical in almost all of the applications where solventborne bituminous coatings and mastics are used and that coating performance comparisons between waterborne and solventborne bituminous coatings and mastics range from good to very poor, depending on conditions. Another national trade association for roofing contractors, which has over 3,000 members represented in all 50 States, argued that there is no viable alternative to solventborne bituminous coatings in many circumstances and pointed to bituminous primers as an example of this. According to this trade association, if the VOC content limit were reduced by any significant amount in these primers, the adhesion properties, the application process, and the life of the roof would suffer dramatically. Therefore, in order to satisfy performance requirements of bituminous coatings and mastics nationwide, the EPA has retained this category with a VOC content limit of 500 g/l in the final rule. With respect to the comments on the separate category for roof coatings, the EPA has decided to retain the category as proposed. Although there are several State architectural coating rules that have a VOC content limit of 300 g/l for roof coatings, the EPA believes that the national Roof Coatings Manufacturers Association's support of the proposed VOC content limit for roof coatings at 250 g/l provides persuasive evidence that this limit is achievable nationwide. Therefore, the EPA has retained the VOC content limit of 250 g/l for roof coatings in the final rule. Concrete Curing Compounds In addition to consideration of these comments, the EPA reviewed the VOC content limits for this category in State rules. Several States, including Arizona, California, Massachusetts, New Jersey, and New York have had a VOC content limit of 350 g/l for concrete curing compounds for several years. The availability of compliant products in these States suggests that the limits are achievable, notwithstanding that not all manufacturers have chosen to market in those States. Based on the information provided by the commenters in favor of the proposed limits and upon the existing State rules, the EPA has concluded that the proposed VOC content limit of 350 g/l for concrete curing compounds is technologically achievable and has retained this limit in the final rule. Graphic Arts Coatings Based on a review of the 1990 VOC emission inventory survey and State architectural coating rules, the EPA determined that the 500 g/l VOC content limit for field-applied graphic arts coatings should not be changed. Shellac--Clear Based on a review of State architectural coating rules, which limit clear shellac VOC content to 730 g/l, and the information provided by the commenters, the EPA has raised the VOC content limit for clear shellac from 650 g/l to 730 g/l. Nuclear Coatings The EPA agrees that the nuclear coatings category VOC content limit should not be more stringent than the VOC content limit for industrial maintenance coatings since nuclear coatings are subject to some of the same extreme environmental conditions as industrial maintenance coatings, and must also meet further specifications and rigorous requirements of the Nuclear Regulatory Commission. The nuclear coatings category is intended to include coatings manufactured for use at nuclear facilities to ensure operational safety, and the definition requires that these coatings meet various testing requirements. The EPA expects that a limited amount of coatings will be affected by this change due to the various testing requirements to qualify for classification in this category and the limited number of nuclear facilities where such coatings are used. Also, as pointed out in the proposal preamble, this is one of 17 specialty coating categories that did not appear in existing State architectural coating rules, and no data were collected in the 1990 VOC emissions inventory survey. In consideration of performance specifications for this category and the need to allow for thinning, the EPA has raised the VOC content limit for the nuclear coatings category to 450 g/l. This limit is the same as the limit for industrial maintenance coatings. Antifouling Coatings The EPA agrees with the commenters that the limit for antifouling coatings should be raised to allow for cold weather thinning. Also, similar to nuclear coatings, these coatings are subject to some of the same extreme environmental conditions as industrial maintenance coatings and must meet other rigorous requirements, such as those under the FIFRA. Moreover, this is one of 17 specialty coating categories that did not appear in existing State architectural coating rules, and no data were collected in the 1990 VOC emissions inventory survey. Therefore, the EPA believes a low volume of coatings will be affected by a change to the proposed limit. The final rule specifies a VOC content limit of 450 g/l for this category. Floor Coatings Two commenters recommended that opaque floor paint be regulated at a 400 g/l VOC level. However, one of these commenters requested clarification of whether the floor coating category included clear floor finishes, such as varnishes. The EPA has retained the floor coatings category, with a modified definition, and VOC content limit of 400 g/l as proposed. The floor coatings category includes opaque coatings that have a high degree of abrasion resistance that are formulated for application to flooring, including but not limited to decks, porches, and steps in a residential setting. The EPA did not intend to include floor coatings that meet the definition of industrial maintenance coatings under the floor coating category. The definition of floor coating has been changed to specify that it applies to floor coatings intended for use in a residential setting. Thus, floor coatings that meet the definition of industrial maintenance coatings are subject to only the industrial maintenance coating category limit of 450 g/l. Based on information from commenters, the EPA agrees that opaque floor coatings should be subject to the 400 g/l limit as proposed. However, clear varnishes that may be recommended for use as floor coatings are subject to the VOC content limit of 450 g/l for clear varnishes. An exception paragraph has been included in Sec. 59.402 of the rule to clarify this category overlap. Waterproofing Sealers and Treatments Based on evaluation of the comments and a review of survey data and State architectural coating regulations, the EPA has combined the clear and opaque waterproofing treatment sealer categories into one category with a VOC content limit of 600 g/l. The EPA agrees that there is no need to distinguish between clear and opaque waterproofing sealers and treatments since many opaque sealers penetrate the substrate and perform the same function as clear sealers. The EPA believes that, based on information provided by these commenters/manufacturers, the appropriate limit for this combined category is 600 g/l. Before proposal, industry representatives argued that multipurpose waterproofing sealers at 400 g/l do not meet minimum performance criteria for clear waterproofing sealers (that is, 60-percent water repellency for wood and 1 percent or less water absorption for brick). The representatives stated that 400 g/l products are high-solids products that may leave an oily residue or cause darkening of the surfaces to which they are applied and, thus, product performance may not meet industry standards. Combining clear and opaque waterproofing treatment sealers into one category is consistent with all existing State rules, which do not divide the category into clear and opaque waterproofing sealers and treatments. The State architectural coating VOC content limits for waterproofing sealers and treatments are either 400 g/l (for example, Arizona and California) or 600 g/l (Massachusetts, New Jersey, and New York). E. Addition of New Coating Categories In general, the EPA considered creation of new categories if commenters submitted information supporting higher VOC content limits for such products than the otherwise applicable limits. The EPA considered the data submitted by commenters and obtained all reasonably available additional data to evaluate these requests. In cases where the EPA concluded that the proposed emission limits were not achievable, the EPA established a separate category with an appropriate emission limit. The following is a discussion of the rationale for each of the new coating categories and its VOC content limit. Calcimine Recoaters Concrete Curing and Sealing Compounds Through follow-up phone calls with several concrete curing and sealing coating manufacturers, the EPA confirmed that concrete curing and sealing products are typically sold at levels much higher than 350 g/l. While waterborne products below 350 g/l are available, some industry representatives cited drawbacks such as poor low-temperature performance and stability. Since these products must often be used in low-temperature environments, the EPA agrees that the VOC content limit should reflect this usage. Therefore, the final rule includes a new category for concrete curing and sealing compounds. Based on an analysis of VOC content and sales data for these products, the EPA has established the VOC content limit at 700 g/l. Concrete Surface Retarders The EPA has concluded that concrete surface retarders meet the rule's definition of a "coating." Concrete surface retarders that are recommended by the manufacturer for use in the field at job sites are, therefore, subject to the rule. When retarders are recommended by the manufacturer solely for use in a manufacturing setting, such as at a precast facility, which is the typical situation, they are not subject to the rule. The EPA determined that concrete surface retarders that are used in the field at the actual job location are specialized, low-volume coatings used in limited circumstances, and there is no lower VOC content substitute for the function of these products. Therefore, the EPA has included a separate category for these products in the final rule, with a VOC content limit of 780 g/l as requested by the commenters. Zone Marking Coatings After consideration of these comments, the EPA has added a separate category for zone marking coatings and has established the VOC content limit at 450 g/l. This level allows the use of solventborne coatings. However, the new category applies only to zone marking coatings sold in containers of 5 gallons or less. Available information reveals that State Departments of Transportation buy traffic marking coatings in larger than 5 gallon containers. Thus, this size restriction should limit the use of zone marking coatings to applications smaller than those of general traffic marking coatings intended for use on public roads and highways. Zone marking coatings sold in larger containers fall within the traffic marking coatings category and are subject to the 150 g/l limit. The establishment of this category allows the use of solventborne coatings by small applicators and under adverse drying and curing conditions. Conversion Varnishes In response to these comments, the final rule includes a new category for conversion varnishes with a VOC content limit of 725 g/l. Due to the chemical make-up of these products, manufacturers reportedly have been unable to reformulate to meet the 450 g/l level for varnishes. The EPA believes that the category comprises a well-defined coating technology that is limited, due to its chemical formulation, to the applications for which it is intended. Several wood flooring contractors' comments support the performance arguments made by the manufacturers. The EPA determined that the VOC content limit of 725 g/l is the lowest level achievable based on analysis of currently available products. The EPA has added a definition for this category to the rule. The category definition was developed from information provided by two of the manufacturers. Faux Finishing/Glazing The commenter stated that, based on formulation including water, the calculated VOC content of these coatings can range up to 340 g/l. However, because the products are waterborne, the VOC "less water" calculation results in a range up to 700 g/l. The commenter stated that the VOC content limit for a similar category (Japan/faux finishing coatings) has been proposed by California's South Coast Air Quality Management District (SCAQMD) at 700 g/l. The commenter stated that, to date, there has not been an identifiable way to reformulate these products to achieve a lower VOC while maintaining the characteristics required for acceptable use. Upon review and evaluation of available information, the EPA has determined that creating a separate category for faux finishing/glazing with a VOC content limit of 700 g/l is warranted. According to the commenter, there are no competing compliant products on the market. Despite 2 years of reported reformulation efforts, this coating cannot meet the proposed VOC content limit of 380 g/l for nonflat interior coatings. The EPA notes that this specialty coating category is low volume and that the foregone VOC emission reductions that may result from setting a higher limit for this category should be limited. Stain Controllers After review and evaluation of these comments and follow-up information provided by the commenter, the EPA has determined that a new category for stain controllers with a VOC content limit of 720 g/l is warranted. This is a specialized, limited use product that is important to consumers, and the EPA believes that the additional emissions from this low-volume coating would be negligible. According to the commenter, reformulation attempts during the last 3 years have been unsuccessful, and the commenter considers it technologically infeasible to reformulate stain controllers to achieve the proposed VOC content limit of 400 g/l for sealers (the category the commenter's coating would be subject to under the proposed rule). According to the commenter, there are competing waterbased products meeting the proposed limit on the market, but there are performance problems with these coatings. The EPA believes that this is an example of a low-volume, specialty niche coating for which it may not be cost-effective for the manufacturer to continue reformulation attempts. Therefore, the final rule contains a separate category for stain controllers.
F. Category Overlap The EPA agrees with the commenters and has reworded the provisions as suggested by the commenters. In the final rule, if the manufacturer or importer makes any representation that indicates that the coating "meets the definition" of more than one coating category, then the most restrictive limit applies. The EPA has removed the phrase "may be suitable for use" from the rule so that the manufacturer or importer is not responsible to meet the limits of other categories if consumers choose to use them for purposes not recommended by the manufacturer or importer. However, if a manufacturer or importer indicates that a coating may be suitable for uses like coatings in other categories, the EPA will consider this a representation that requires the coating to meet the most restrictive applicable limit. Thus, determination of the applicable category and VOC content limit is based on a comparison between the technical criteria in the rule's definitions and the coating manufacturer's or importer's representations. The proposed rule also included exceptions for seven types of coatings to the requirement that the most restrictive limit always applies. The EPA recognizes that these seven coatings potentially meet the definition of more than one category of coating, but cannot meet the more restrictive limit. For these exceptions, the rule explicitly specifies that the less restrictive limit applies. Commenters suggested additional instances of overlap that might also warrant special exceptions. After considering the information presented by these commenters, the EPA has included further exceptions, in addition to the proposed exceptions, to the most restrictive limit provision. The EPA has added the following exceptions: (1) anti-graffiti coatings, high temperature coatings, impacted immersion coatings, thermoplastic rubber coatings and mastics, repair and maintenance thermoplastic coatings, pretreatment wash primers, and flow coatings are not required to meet the VOC content limit for industrial maintenance coatings; (2) industrial maintenance coatings are not required to meet the VOC content limit for primers and undercoaters, sealers, or mastic texture coatings; (3) varnishes and conversion varnishes used as floor coatings are not required to meet the VOC content limit for floor coatings; (4) sanding sealers are not required to meet the VOC content limit for quick-dry sealers; (5) waterproofing sealers and treatment coatings are not required to meet the VOC content limit for quick-dry sealers; (6) quick-dry primers, sealers, and undercoaters are not required to meet the VOC content limit for primers and undercoaters; (7) nonferrous ornamental metal lacquers and surface protectants are not required to meet the VOC content limit for lacquers; and (8) antenna coatings are not required to meet the VOC content limit for industrial maintenance coatings or primers. These exceptions are discussed more fully in section 2.2.3.14 of the Architectural Coatings BID. G. Low Volume/Tonnage Exemption In general, commenters in favor of the exemption pointed out that it would mitigate the impact of the rule on small manufacturers for which costs of reformulation would be more significant, and would prevent the elimination of specialty products for niche markets that could not easily be reformulated. Commenters opposed to the concept of a low-volume exemption generally argued that it would create a loophole allowing continued manufacture of noncompliant coatings and that in the aggregate such emissions would be significant. The EPA considered these comments and concluded that some type of exemption is needed to help ensure the continued availability of niche products, to mitigate potential impacts on small manufacturers, and to enhance the economic feasibility of the rule. The exemption in the final rule is based on VOC tonnage rather than on production volume, the concept presented at proposal. This approach continues to accommodate the needs of small manufacturers, niche markets, and specialty products, as did the proposed low-volume exemptions, but it more effectively limits the VOC emissions resulting from the exemption in response to comments received on the proposal. Under the tonnage exemption, each manufacturer can exempt a volume of coatings that contains no more than a specified total mass of VOC for all coatings included in the exemption (see Table 2 in section II.B, Summary of Standards). The EPA has designed the tonnage limits to exempt no more than 1.5 to 2 percent of the total expected emission reductions from all architectural coatings. In addition, the EPA has structured the tonnage exemption to decrease over time, thereby decreasing the aggregate VOC emissions in a staggered fashion to provide additional compliance flexibility. The EPA believes that it is appropriate to provide the exemption in this manner for the dual purpose of preserving niche products and of providing greater initial assistance to manufacturers as they reformulate their products. The EPA believes that limiting the exemption in this fashion will address the concerns of commenters who viewed the low-volume exemption as a potential loophole that would allow significant aggregate excess VOC emissions. The EPA expects that the 9 Mg/yr (10 tpy) exemption that goes into effect in the third year will help to preserve niche products and to provide adequate flexibility for unforeseen future needs while effectively limiting emissions due to the exemption. In addition, the EPA expects that the initial tonnage exemption of 23 Mg (25 tons) for the time period from September 13, 1999 through December 31, 2000, will allow manufacturers to exempt one to three 27,000 liter (7,100 gallon) product lines, depending on the VOC content, thereby meeting the functional intent of the originally proposed low-volume exemption. The rule provides that the manufacturer or importer will calculate emissions from exempt coatings by multiplying the total sales volume in liters by the "in the can" VOC content of the coating in grams of VOC per liter of coating, including any water or exempt compounds. The "in the can" VOC content must include consideration of the maximum thinning recommended by the manufacturer. The manufacturer or importer may exempt any combination of different coatings as long as the total VOC tonnage from these coatings does not exceed the limit for the tonnage exemption. In addition, the manufacturer or importer may choose to combine the exceedance fee provision and the VOC tonnage exemption for one or more coatings. For example, under this exemption, in the time period from September 13, 1999 through December 31, 2000, a manufacturer could exempt 38,300 liters (10,000 gallons) of a 600 g/l [5 pounds per gallon (lb/gal)] coating. Alternatively, a manufacturer could exempt 18,939 liters (5,000 gallons) of an 800 g/l (6.67 lb/gal) coating plus 13,731 liters (3,625 gallons) of a 550 g/l (4.58 lb/gal) coating. This exemption differs from the low-volume exemption in the proposal preamble in three ways. First, the exemption is on a "per manufacturer" basis rather than a "per product" basis. This change was necessary due to the difficulty in defining a "product" and the potential for abuse in designating products for exemption. Second, the exemption level is based on megagrams of VOC rather than liters of coating. Using VOC tonnage as the basis for the exemption places an upper bound on the emission reductions that are lost through this exemption while still accommodating the needs for which it was intended. Third, the total quantity of the exemption reduces over time. The EPA intends for the ratcheting down of the tonnage exemption over time to encourage regulated entities using the exemption to continue to reduce the VOC content of their coatings. The EPA has concluded that the exemption, as structured in the final rule, provides benefits in terms of flexibility, mitigation of impacts for small manufacturers, and continuation of specialized niche products that justify the EPA in foregoing the small percentage of overall potential VOC reduction lost through the exemption. Furthermore, the EPA has concluded that the creation of the tonnage exemption is consistent with the EPA's explicit discretion and authority to create the appropriate system or systems of regulation in accordance with section 183(e)(4) of the Act. H. Compliance Variance Provisions Several commenters addressed the variance provisions. Those who supported the provisions noted that a variance would provide the needed extra time to come into compliance. Those opposed to the variance generally argued that it was not sufficiently protective of the environment. In addition, even the commenters in favor of the variance provision stated that the requirements for applying for a variance were too burdensome, and that small businesses would be particularly impacted by the burden associated with the application process. Many of these commenters stated that exceedance fee provisions are a more effective way to accommodate the need for compliance flexibility yet still encourage reductions of VOC emissions. Based upon the comments received, the EPA has not included the variance provision in the final rule. It is evident to the EPA that a variance process may not provide the intended compliance flexibility, especially for small manufacturers. Even though the EPA intended the proposed variance requirements to be the minimum necessary to justify and approve a coating variance, the EPA recognizes that the requirements may have been burdensome, particularly for small manufacturers with limited or no regulatory compliance staff. It is also possible that the variance provision could create an uneven playing field because small businesses would not have the resources needed to pursue this option, thereby putting small businesses at a disadvantage compared to large businesses. Moreover, with the tonnage exemption and exceedance fee provisions included in the final rule, the EPA has concluded that a compliance date variance is not necessary. The EPA believes that these alternative provisions provide even greater flexibility than the variance provision and are less burdensome to regulated entities. Both of these compliance options are automatically available to all regulated entities and, therefore, do not involve complex application and approval processes. These compliance options require only the limited recordkeeping and reporting necessary for the EPA to ensure compliance. The EPA anticipates that regulated entities will use the tonnage reformulate, or for extremely low-volume products that cannot be reformulated in the foreseeable future. The exceedance fee option, described more fully below, is also designed to give manufacturers additional time to develop lower VOC technologies, which are already used for similar coatings by other manufacturers, where necessary. This compliance option allows regulated entities to continue to sell coatings that exceed the VOC content limits, provided that they pay an exceedance fee. Need for Long-term, Universal Variance Procedure The EPA has determined that such a variance procedure is not warranted, given the other provisions in the final architectural coatings rule. The EPA has included compliance provisions in the final rule that it believes will allow for the development of new technology. The tonnage exemption and exceedance fee option in the final rule create such additional compliance flexibility. In the event that coatings manufacturers in the future develop specialized categories of coatings for uses not now foreseeable, they could notify the EPA if they believe a new coating category is needed. The EPA could then assess the appropriateness of such a category. I. Exceedance Fee Option After careful evaluation of all of the comments and discussions with the Small Business Administration, the Administrator has decided to include this compliance option in the final rule for several reasons. First, the exceedance fee provision will provide transition time over and above the tonnage exemption provision for those manufacturers that may need additional time to obtain or develop lower VOC technologies. The exceedance fee provision is significantly less burdensome than the proposed compliance variance provision, which the EPA has not retained in the final rule (see discussion in section V.H of this preamble). Second, the exceedance fee provides long-term flexibility and a less costly compliance option for manufacturers who sell very low volume, specialty coatings where the cost of reformulation may be prohibitive compared to the potential profit on low volume products. Thus, these important specialty products will continue to be available to consumers. Third, contrary to some comments received, the EPA believes that the higher costs resulting from the exceedance fees can encourage the development of innovative technology, such as high-performance products with lower VOC content, thus reducing VOC content to the limits in Table 1 for many coatings. With regard to some commenters' concerns about enforcement of the exceedance fee, the recordkeeping and reporting requirements in the rule will ensure compliance with this option. The final rule requires manufacturers and importers to maintain records and submit annual reports to the EPA if they wish to exercise their option to use the exceedance fee. Any violations of the recordkeeping and reporting or any other requirements of the rule could result in enforcement actions and the possibility of penalties. There were various questions and opinions from several commenters regarding the level of the fee. The EPA considered several factors in setting the fee level. Specifically, the EPA has set the fee level so that it would not be advantageous for most manufacturers and importers merely to opt for the fee in lieu of reformulating large volume products, which generate a disproportionately large share of emissions. At the same time, the EPA has sought to set the fee at a level that will provide flexibility for producers of small volume or specialty products to keep products on the market. Clearly, these are competing considerations, but they are not mutually exclusive. In fact, the EIA conducted by the EPA suggests that manufacturers of a large number of coatings may opt for the fee (as a lower-cost compliance option to reformulation or product withdrawal). However, the total sales volumes of these products are uniformly small and, thus, their contribution to total market output (and emission reductions) is relatively small. The fee level also provides incentive for fee-paying firms to reduce VOC content on the margin, as this will reduce the amount of fee they must pay. The EPA has concluded that imposition of the fee is an appropriate mechanism to encourage development of lower-VOC content products while at the same time preserving specialty niche products and mitigating the impact on small regulated entities. The level of the fee reflects the EPA's attempt to balance the intent to encourage reformulation without mandating that products be priced out of the market. The EPA believes that this is consistent with its authority to use economic incentives as part of the system of regulation as contemplated by section 183(e)(4) of the Act. J. Labeling, Recordkeeping, and Reporting The proposal preamble requested comment on the inclusion of labeling requirements for coating coverage information and an educational statement about the role of VOC emissions from coatings in ozone formation. Based on comments received concerning coverage information, the EPA determined that coating coverage is so variable, depending on the coating and the substrate being coated, that the information would be of minimal benefit. Upon consideration of comments regarding the educational statement, the EPA concluded that an outreach program would just as effectively educate consumers on the role of VOC emissions in the formation of ozone and on the reasons why ground-level ozone is undesirable. Thus, the final rule does not require the proposed coverage information and educational statements. K. Determination of Volatile Organic Compound Content The EPA believes that Method 24 provides consistent, reliable results when determining the VOC content of architectural coatings. Specifically regarding concerns about Method 24's reliability for determining the VOC content of waterborne coatings, the EPA believes that Method 24 is the best currently available compliance method for low-VOC solvent content (high water content or waterborne) coatings. For waterborne coatings, VOC content is determined indirectly using methods that determine nonvolatile matter content and water content. The VOC content is assumed to be what is unaccounted for by these two fractions. The EPA acknowledges that the inherent imprecision of indirectly determining the VOC content of such coatings by this method necessitates an adjustment of the analytical results. Such adjustments must be based on confidence limits calculated from the precision statement established for Method 24. The precision adjustment procedure is incorporated in Method 24. Therefore, the final rule specifies that Method 24 is to be used for determining the VOC content of coatings subject to the rule. However, in response to comments received and consistent with other coating regulations established by the EPA in the past, the final rule does provide that other means may be used to determine VOC content. Nevertheless, the rule also provides that the Administrator may request at any time that the coating manufacturer or importer conduct a Method 24 test for the purpose of demonstrating compliance with the rule. If there are any inconsistencies between Method 24 test results and other means of determining VOC content, the Method 24 results will govern. The rule also provides an option for the Administrator to approve, on a case-by-case basis, alternative methods of determining the VOC content of coatings if they are demonstrated to the Administrator's satisfaction to provide results satisfactory for determining compliance. Such alternative methods could include procedures for testing for acetone, acid content, and water content, procedures for coatings that are chemically-cured, and procedures for using formulations and batch processing data for adjusting or determining VOC content. L. Compliance Date The EPA supports making the architectural coatings rule effective and applicable as quickly as possible, but in a time frame within which regulated entities may reasonably comply. The EPA believes that the 12-month compliance period in the final rule allows the industry appropriate time to achieve compliance with the rule. The EPA believes that coating technologies currently exist to meet all of the rule's VOC content limits. In limited cases where manufacturers or importers need additional time to comply, the tonnage exemption and the exceedance fee option already provide additional compliance flexibility and offset any need for additional compliance time. At proposal, the EPA requested comment on whether the final rule should include a compliance extension for small manufacturers. Three-quarters of the commenters providing comments on this provision were against special treatment for small manufacturers. After careful evaluation of the comments, the EPA has decided not to include a compliance extension specifically restricted to small manufacturers. Instead, the EPA has extended the compliance period for all Manufacturers and importers to 12 months. The EPA has concluded that the information provided by commenters demonstrates that the 12-month compliance period allows adequate time for all regulated entities to comply. The EPA believes that other mechanisms such as the tonnage exemption and the exceedance fee will also help alleviate concerns regarding the compliance period for small entities. M. Cost/Economic Impacts Several commenters indicated that they thought that the estimate of total social cost was too low because the EPA underestimated or omitted several cost factors. Some of the factors cited by commenters that costs are underestimated are listed below: (1) The estimate did not consider every reformulation such as the recalibration and
reformulation of every color in a tint base system when the base is reformulated, Commenters also cited several cost categories that potentially were omitted from the total cost estimate, including: (6) Costs for preparing product literature, including material safety data sheets,
sales aids, color brochures, and technical data bulletins; Two of these commenters (a manufacturer and its legal counsel) stated that if the EPA included all cost factors in the total cost estimate, then the impacts of the rule would exceed $100 million and would necessitate additional analyses under Executive Order 12866 and the Unfunded Mandates Reform Act. Some commenters also believed that the method of calculating the national cost was flawed in that costs are calculated on an annualized basis. A commenter also stated that expressing the cost in 1991 dollars did not represent real costs today and that assuming an interest rate of 7 percent was not a valid assumption for small businesses. The EPA has carefully considered the comments regarding the economic impact of the rule, especially in light of the EPA's overestimate of the costs of reformulation in the proposal. The EPA believes the total social cost estimate provided at proposal was significantly above the actual cost of the regulation because of several conservative assumptions that were adopted in the analysis, and the evidence that the per-product reformulation cost was nearly three times greater than the average estimate obtained by public comments. The method of calculating national cost for the final rule adheres to the EPA policy and Office of Management and Budget (OMB) guidance (OMB Circular A-94). It is a well-established tenet of benefit-cost analysis and cost-effectiveness analysis that benefits and costs need to be placed on a time-consistent basis for direct comparison. Therefore, the costs of the action must be computed on an annualized basis through discounting to be time consistent with the annual stream of emission reductions achieved. For the architectural coatings rule, the costs of reformulation and its VOC reduction benefits occur in different time periods. The reformulation of current noncompliant products is a "one-time event," but the emission reductions of the new formula and the knowledge gained from developing the reformulation continue over the life of the product, which is an infinite period of time unless the product is permanently removed from the market. In other words, once a formulation is developed to comply with the regulation, manufacturers will have some knowledge to carry forward to all future modifications of the product (i.e., if they adjust the formula to improve certain attributes or characteristics of the product). However, the EPA recognizes that a case can be made for treating each product formula as having a finite service life, requiring periodic reformulation. Under this alternative assumption, the regulation is viewed as accelerating each product's next round of reformulation, an event that would have occurred anyway. For example, if a product is usually reformulated every 8 years, the rule's implementation may cause a manufacturer to investigate the reformulation 4 years earlier, thus accelerating the reformulation schedule for all future years. In response to this issue, the EIA for the final rule presents a calculation of annualized costs for both a finite and an infinite product life. Because the finite product life results in a higher annualized value, the EPA uses this estimate for the economic analysis of the final rule to produce a conservative estimate of impacts associated with the rule. Also, because the survey of architectural coating producers was conducted in 1992 with information on products through the end of 1991, the EPA has set 1991 as the baseline year for the analysis. All market data are in 1991 dollars, and so for the purpose of modeling, the costs are expressed in 1991 dollars. However, in response to comments, values for the final rule are expressed in both 1991 (the base year of analysis) and 1996 dollars. The EPA's conclusions regarding the impacts of the final rule are the same, whether expressed in 1991 or 1996 dollars. In addition, OMB (OMB Circular A-94) stipulates that the discount rate used for economic analyses of Federal regulations is 7 percent. This is based on an assessment of a wide range of private and public investment returns. The 7-percent rate is a real discount rate (adjusting out inflation). In contrast, the market interest rates paid by firms are in nominal terms (i.e., they include a component for inflation). If inflation is 3 percent, then a real rate of 7 percent is equivalent to a nominal rate of 10 percent. All dollar values in the economic analysis are expressed in real terms, thus the discount rate used is a real discount rate. Using the stated method for calculating the per-product costs of reformulation, the EPA conducted an in-depth analysis of national cost and economic impact to support both the proposed and final rules. More specifically, the estimate of net social cost is based on the average cost to reformulate products that exceed the limits set by the standard. These costs are applied to specific products identified by the survey. For these products, costs are applied to two-thirds of the population of non-compliant products because one-third of these products are similar enough in characteristics to other "over-the-limit" products that a separate reformulation effort is not likely to be necessary. Although the survey was unable to capture all products produced by small businesses as one commenter states, the EPA assumed (for an upper bound estimate) that all product volume in the non-survey population was produced by small businesses. Thus, costs are extrapolated to the nation using conservative assumptions of the total number of products requiring reformulation nationally. The analysis then considers influences in a competitive market on product price and output, along with the consideration of lower-cost compliance options such as the exceedance fee provision or product withdrawal from the market. The analysis not only measures the cost to producers that must comply with the regulation, but also to all consumers impacted by the changes in the market resulting from the regulation. The analysis also identifies gains in revenues to producers that are not constrained by the rule (thus, not incurring costs), but who gain an advantage of higher market prices for their products. Thus, the EPA believes that the analysis reasonably captures all capital and social costs for surveyed as well as non-surveyed products. The original product reformulation cost estimate included several components beyond the cost of the laboratory personnel, which are itemized in the EIA. Although some of the items listed by commenters as improperly omitted may not have been included in the per-product reformulation cost estimate at proposal, several of the estimates from public comments that were used for the final rule included these components, and therefore, they are included in the estimate used for the final rule. The EPA also considered the influence (positive and negative) of other factors that are not possible to quantify, and presented these biases in a table of the EIA at proposal and for the final rule. Most of the biases are variable and case specific. For example, product quality changes were found to have both positive and negative effects on cost depending on the product. The EPA found no link between product quality and VOC content since quality, high-performing products are available in a wide range of VOC content levels in many product categories. Given this finding, the EPA does not consider warranty claims and complaints for poor performance to be typical or quantifiable for a reformulated product. The EPA also found examples of increased and decreased time utilized for surface preparation, application, and drying of compliant coatings. The use of acetone formulations is also not considered a necessity to comply with the rule since there are other raw material substitutes available to manufacturers. Thus, incurring increased safety hazards by choosing an acetone formulation is a decision that should be made by a manufacturer based on benefit/cost considerations, rather than as a result of the rule. Other categories of influence on the cost estimate are also discussed qualitatively in the EIA. The cost of foregone new product development is an aspect of opportunity cost that is implicitly included in the EPA's estimate of economic impacts. The amortized cost of reformulation reflects both the payment of principal and the cost of capital. The cost of capital directly reflects the value of opportunities foregone by investing funds in a particular activity, in this case, reformulation. Thus, if investing in reformulation diverts funds from investing in other product enhancements, the foregone value of those investments is captured in the discount rate used in the analysis. The aggregation of 50 categories into 13 market segments is the result of cross-referencing the emissions inventory data from the industry survey with the coding system set by the Census of Manufacturers, a large source of economic data. The methodology to link survey categories with the Census data is described in an appendix to the EIA. The EPA's objective was to specify as many market categories as the data would allow. Using this method, the largest possible number of meaningful market categories was 13. The aggregation process presents an appropriate way to analyze the cost and economic impacts and does not in any way diminish the estimates of the absolute impact of the regulation. However, the aggregation process may make it difficult to detect relatively large impacts within one subgroup of a market category, if these impacts are offset by relatively small impacts in other subgroups of that market. In other words, a product may be more likely to be withdrawn from the market than is indicated in the 13 market segments of the analysis since multiple product niches would be lumped within the same market segment. On the other hand, this aggregation may increase the estimated effect on manufacturers by over-stating the degree to which products within the market segment can substitute for products affected by the regulation. While the EPA did not directly measure impacts on the retailing sector, contractors, and other consumers, the indirect impacts to these entities and other users of coatings products are captured in the market analysis by the estimated change in "consumer surplus," along with all other downstream effects beyond the manufacturer. Consumer surplus measures the distribution of the burden of the regulation to all consumers. Since the impact on consumers calculated for proposal was less than one-third of the manufacturers' burden, and contractors and retailers are a small subset of this effect, the EPA saw no indication of a need for an in-depth analysis of secondary (indirect) impacts. It should be recognized that retail outlets have the ability to substitute between compliant and noncompliant coatings offered for sale. While the EPA projects the number of withdrawn products to be small, if a manufacturer does choose to discontinue a product, retailers will presumably replace this product with other compliant products in that category. Thus, although foregone profits are "lost" for the manufacturer withdrawing a product, the retailer offsets any lost profits from selling the withdrawn product with profits obtained by selling substitutes within that category. As indicated above, the number and volume of product withdrawals is projected to be quite small (less than 1-percent nationally), thus suggesting retailing effects, if they exist at all, are also likely to be quite small. The job loss and other substantial economic impacts that are referred to by a commenter are the result of assuming that every reformulation required by the standards is not feasible, thus the products would be removed from the market causing manufacturers, contractors, retailers, and other consumers to be economically impacted. Because there are a very limited number of products that are expected to be withdrawn from the market, most products will be reformulated or produced with current formulations (with manufacturers using the tonnage exemption provision or paying a fee for emissions in excess of the standards). Likewise, this regulatory action cannot be considered a "product ban" because the EPA believes that it is technologically feasible to reformulate all product categories to meet the standards. The expected level of product withdrawal is calculated based upon the aggregate impact on numerous varieties of products across 13 different market segments, so it is unlikely to eliminate (or ban) an entire product category. In addition, the rule contains limits for 61 categories of products, many of which were created to preserve specialty, niche market sectors within the industry. Also, the tonnage exemption and exceedance fee provisions in the rule are expected to provide further compliance flexibility which will allow manufacturers to maintain product lines with VOC contents that exceed the applicable VOC content limits in appropriate circumstances. In conclusion, based on the data and information provided to the EPA prior to proposal and through public comments, the revised national annualized cost estimate of the final rule of $25.6 million in 1991 dollars (or $29 million in 1996 dollars) is representative of all costs to producers and consumers. This cost and its effect on the industry do not meet the minimum criteria set forth by Executive Order 12866 or the Unfunded Mandates Reform Act to require additional analyses, as some commenters have suggested. N. Small Business Issues During development of the rule, the EPA was aware of the above concerns of small
manufacturers and designed the architectural coatings rule to minimize any potential
adverse impacts on small manufacturers. In fact, special consideration was given to
economic feasibility of VOC levels for coating categories where small manufacturers have a
disproportionate presence. The small entity analysis confirmed that small producers that
were included in the survey of manufacturers do tend to produce higher VOC content
products (75 percent higher than the average of all surveyed manufacturers), partly
because of a specialization of products and partly because of choice of technology.
They produced 20 percent of the number of products in the survey, but only account for 4
percent of total volume of coatings produced, and 4 percent of total revenue of surveyed
manufacturers. Thus, the revenues and production levels are generally lower than the
average of all manufacturers. Because the costs to reformulate are fixed for all levels of
production, the costs to reformulate the products that exceed the VOC content limits have
the potential to comprise a greater share of baseline costs and revenues for small
producers, which gives some indication that a disproportionate impact on small businesses
could occur if reformulation were the only compliance option available. The EPA considered
this finding and has taken several steps in the final rule to mitigate this impact,
provide flexibility and additional compliance time, and preserve niche markets, including:
All of these provisions were considered in part to address niche markets and small business burdens; however, the provisions will be available to all producers regardless of size. The EPA's analysis of the impacts of the final rule shows that small businesses are likely to utilize these provisions and that the impact on a typical small firm is reduced without significant deterioration of the rule's effectiveness (i.e., the foregone emission reductions are limited). See section VI.E of this preamble for a summary of findings from the analysis. The EPA disagrees that the proposed architectural coatings rule favors larger businesses to the detriment of smaller businesses. As the EIA indicates, estimated market effects from the architectural coatings rule are relatively slight. Approximately one-tenth of 1 percent of industry product volume is projected to withdraw from |